Gippsland Falcons vs Newcastle Breakers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gippsland Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
MEL
0 - 1
GIF
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
BRI
2 - 3
GIF
74%
15%
11%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1997 |
GIF
2 - 0
ADE
31%
27%
42%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
SYD
1 - 0
GIF
73%
16%
11%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
GIF
3 - 0
NCB
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Breakers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1997 |
NCB
4 - 2
WAD
48%
23%
28%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
NCB
4 - 3
SYD
41%
25%
34%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
SYD
2 - 0
NCB
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1997 |
NCB
5 - 2
MAR
31%
25%
45%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
GIF
3 - 0
NCB
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |