Gippsland Falcons vs Newcastle Breakers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gippsland Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
BRI
6 - 1
GIF
66%
19%
16%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1996 |
GIF
1 - 1
WAD
41%
25%
34%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
MAR
4 - 0
GIF
76%
15%
10%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1996 |
SOU
3 - 2
GIF
67%
18%
15%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1996 |
GIF
1 - 1
SYD
44%
24%
32%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Breakers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1996 |
NCB
1 - 4
MEL
28%
24%
48%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
BRI
3 - 2
NCB
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1996 |
SYD
3 - 0
NCB
70%
19%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1996 |
NCB
0 - 4
WAD
44%
25%
32%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1996 |
MAR
3 - 1
NCB
78%
14%
8%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |