Gippsland Falcons vs Brunswick Zebras SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gippsland Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1994 |
MEL
3 - 4
GIF
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1994 |
GIF
3 - 1
HEU
59%
23%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1994 |
MAR
2 - 3
GIF
78%
14%
8%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1994 |
GIF
1 - 3
ADE
39%
27%
35%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1994 |
PAE
1 - 2
GIF
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Brunswick Zebras SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1994 |
SYD
1 - 0
MZE
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1994 |
MZE
2 - 0
BRI
48%
28%
25%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1994 |
MEL
2 - 1
MZE
72%
18%
11%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1994 |
MZE
2 - 0
HEU
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1994 |
MAR
4 - 0
MZE
78%
14%
8%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | -1 |