Gippsland Falcons vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
45.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gippsland Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
CSC
3 - 0
GIF
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
GIF
0 - 3
PER
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
SYD
0 - 0
GIF
56%
22%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1998 |
GIF
0 - 0
MAR
30%
27%
44%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1998 |
NCB
1 - 2
GIF
48%
24%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
MEL
0 - 1
SOU
38%
26%
37%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
MEL
2 - 0
CCO
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
MEL
0 - 1
SYD
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1998 |
MEL
3 - 2
BRI
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1998 |
SFC
2 - 1
MEL
37%
24%
39%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |