Gippsland Falcons vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
40%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gippsland Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1996 |
GIF
1 - 1
CCO
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1996 |
GIF
0 - 0
SYD
43%
26%
30%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1996 |
ADE
5 - 0
GIF
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1996 |
NCB
1 - 2
GIF
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1996 |
GIF
0 - 2
ADE
43%
24%
33%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1996 |
MEL
1 - 0
SOU
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1996 |
CCO
3 - 3
MEL
34%
25%
42%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1996 |
MEL
0 - 1
ADE
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1996 |
MEL
0 - 0
SYD
50%
26%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1996 |
MEL
1 - 0
SOU
51%
22%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |