Gippsland Falcons vs Marconi Stallions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
43.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gippsland Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1997 |
SYD
3 - 0
GIF
56%
23%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
GIF
1 - 1
NCB
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
MEL
0 - 1
GIF
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
BRI
2 - 3
GIF
74%
15%
11%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1997 |
GIF
2 - 0
ADE
31%
27%
42%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1997 |
MAR
2 - 0
WAD
67%
18%
15%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1997 |
MAR
2 - 0
CCO
83%
12%
6%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
SYD
1 - 0
MAR
36%
25%
40%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
ADE
4 - 0
MAR
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
MAR
3 - 0
ADE
58%
22%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |