Gippsland Falcons vs Carlton SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
38.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gippsland Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1997 |
SYD
1 - 1
GIF
71%
17%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1997 |
GIF
2 - 1
PER
30%
26%
44%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1997 |
SOU
2 - 0
GIF
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1997 |
GIF
1 - 1
SOU
30%
27%
43%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1997 |
GIF
0 - 0
CCO
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Carlton SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1997 |
CSC
1 - 1
WAD
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1997 |
MAR
1 - 2
CSC
62%
21%
18%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1997 |
CSC
0 - 1
SYD
55%
23%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1997 |
NCB
0 - 0
CSC
41%
25%
35%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1997 |
CSC
1 - 1
MEL
44%
24%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |