Gippsland Falcons vs Canberra Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gippsland Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1997 |
WAD
1 - 0
GIF
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1997 |
GIF
0 - 1
MAR
31%
25%
43%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1997 |
SYD
3 - 0
GIF
56%
23%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
GIF
1 - 1
NCB
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
MEL
0 - 1
GIF
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Canberra Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1997 |
CCO
1 - 2
ADE
20%
24%
57%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1997 |
WAD
3 - 0
CCO
72%
17%
11%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1997 |
CCO
1 - 3
CSC
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1997 |
MAR
2 - 0
CCO
83%
12%
6%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1997 |
CCO
1 - 3
SYD
24%
26%
50%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |