Gippsland Falcons vs Adelaide City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
18.5%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
42.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gippsland Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
SOU
6 - 1
GIF
63%
20%
17%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
GIF
0 - 1
MEL
29%
25%
45%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
CSC
3 - 0
GIF
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
GIF
0 - 3
PER
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
SYD
0 - 0
GIF
56%
22%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Adelaide City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
ADE
1 - 1
SOU
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1998 |
CCO
0 - 1
ADE
18%
24%
58%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
ADE
3 - 2
SYD
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1998 |
BRI
0 - 1
ADE
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
ADE
2 - 0
SFC
56%
24%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |