La Gineta vs Carranque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
34.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Gineta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
TOM
2 - 1
LGI
35%
27%
38%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ALM
0 - 2
LGI
28%
25%
47%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
LGI
1 - 0
MIG
52%
23%
25%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
MAN
2 - 3
LGI
35%
25%
40%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
LGI
2 - 0
PED
78%
15%
7%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Carranque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
CAR
3 - 2
TAL
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
CAR
3 - 2
UDT
64%
20%
17%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
QUI
1 - 3
CAR
32%
26%
42%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 1
ADS
61%
21%
18%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
MOR
3 - 1
CAR
51%
24%
26%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |