Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 5-4
Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
37%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnástica Torrelavega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
VAD
2 - 1
GIM
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
CDB
1 - 0
GIM
57%
21%
22%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
GIM
1 - 1
DEP
31%
28%
41%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1967 |
RMA
1 - 0
GIM
92%
6%
2%
|
48 | 91 | 43 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1967 |
GIM
2 - 2
RMA
15%
23%
62%
|
48 | 91 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
VAL
0 - 2
REC
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
XER
2 - 1
VAL
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
VAL
1 - 0
CDT
71%
17%
12%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1967 |
GRA
3 - 2
VAL
69%
17%
14%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1967 |
GRA
2 - 0
VAL
67%
18%
15%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |