Tercera Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 4-4
Gimnástica Segoviana vs Noja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnástica Segoviana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
SEG
0 - 0
ARR
62%
21%
18%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
ARR
1 - 2
SEG
59%
22%
19%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
SEG
2 - 1
VAL
48%
25%
28%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
VDB
0 - 0
SEG
10%
21%
69%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SEG
2 - 0
CAB
72%
18%
11%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Noja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
NOJ
1 - 1
AND
41%
26%
34%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
AND
1 - 0
NOJ
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
SIE
2 - 1
NOJ
36%
26%
38%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
NOJ
0 - 2
REO
86%
11%
3%
|
31 | 6 | 25 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ARE
1 - 2
NOJ
23%
23%
54%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |