Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 6-5
Gimnástica Segoviana vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
28.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnástica Segoviana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1948 |
SEG
3 - 3
BUR
50%
21%
30%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
SEG
1 - 4
NUM
63%
18%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
CDB
4 - 1
SEG
77%
13%
11%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
SEG
3 - 1
MAN
73%
14%
13%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
TAL
1 - 0
SEG
65%
17%
18%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1948 |
SEG
3 - 3
BUR
50%
21%
30%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
BUR
3 - 2
ARE
46%
21%
33%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
BUR
7 - 1
SDI
66%
17%
17%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
MIR
2 - 3
BUR
53%
21%
27%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
MAE
2 - 0
BUR
67%
16%
17%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |