Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-3
Gimnàstic Tarragona vs Lleida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
24.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1952 |
GIM
2 - 1
SLA
58%
19%
24%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1952 |
LOG
3 - 0
GIM
66%
17%
17%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
GIM
0 - 2
AVI
80%
12%
8%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
LLE
2 - 1
GIM
67%
17%
16%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1952 |
GIM
1 - 3
OSA
65%
18%
17%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1952 |
OSA
1 - 0
LLE
65%
18%
17%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1952 |
LLE
1 - 0
HUE
72%
15%
14%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
GIM
2 - 0
LLE
43%
22%
35%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
LLE
2 - 1
GIM
67%
17%
16%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1952 |
ALA
4 - 1
LLE
50%
23%
27%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -2 |