Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 4-1
Gimnàstic Tarragona vs CD Teruel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
6.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
GIM
2 - 0
JUP
74%
15%
11%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
JUP
1 - 6
GIM
43%
23%
34%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
GIM
2 - 0
ECG
76%
14%
10%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 1944 |
GIM
1 - 0
REU
75%
14%
11%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1944 |
REU
1 - 1
GIM
40%
23%
38%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Teruel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
LLE
3 - 0
TER
72%
16%
13%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
TER
4 - 0
LLE
39%
22%
38%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +4 |
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
TER
6 - 1
OBE
75%
14%
11%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1944 |
TER
3 - 2
AZA
61%
19%
20%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1944 |
AZA
1 - 1
TER
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |