Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 5-3
Gimnàstic Tarragona vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
28.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
GIM
3 - 0
RCD
63%
18%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
MAL
5 - 3
GIM
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
GIM
5 - 2
HER
56%
20%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1947 |
LEV
4 - 1
GIM
55%
22%
23%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1947 |
BET
0 - 0
GIM
42%
23%
35%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
VCF
6 - 0
SPO
76%
14%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
SPO
3 - 1
FCB
37%
23%
40%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
SEV
5 - 2
SPO
75%
14%
12%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1947 |
SPO
3 - 0
CEL
52%
21%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1947 |
SAB
2 - 2
SPO
53%
21%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |