Gimnàstic Tarragona vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
59.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
GIM
2 - 0
ELC
32%
27%
40%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
CCF
2 - 0
GIM
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
GIM
1 - 4
POL
41%
29%
30%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
SLA
0 - 1
GIM
65%
22%
13%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
GIM
0 - 2
MAL
47%
27%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
RAC
1 - 0
ZAR
39%
26%
35%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2004 |
ZAR
2 - 0
UTR
68%
19%
13%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
ZAR
2 - 1
RSO
48%
24%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
VIL
2 - 0
ZAR
44%
27%
29%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
SIG
2 - 3
ZAR
34%
29%
37%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |