Copa del Rey 1/512
Global 4-3
Gimnàstic Tarragona vs Deportivo Aragón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
GIM
0 - 1
CON
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
EUR
4 - 1
GIM
50%
26%
25%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
GIM
3 - 3
ACC
86%
10%
4%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
CEM
2 - 1
GIM
35%
27%
39%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
GIM
3 - 1
GAV
84%
11%
6%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
TOL
2 - 0
ZAR
41%
26%
33%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
ZAR
3 - 1
NUM
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
RUN
6 - 0
ZAR
59%
23%
19%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
ZAR
2 - 1
RSO
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
CLH
1 - 2
ZAR
51%
24%
25%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |