Gimnàstic Tarragona vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 2
GIM
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
GIM
1 - 3
ALB
55%
25%
21%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
REC
0 - 1
GIM
63%
23%
15%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
GIM
1 - 1
HER
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
CCF
1 - 1
GIM
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
RAY
2 - 0
MUR
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
ATH
2 - 2
RAY
69%
20%
11%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
UDL
2 - 1
RAY
39%
30%
32%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
RAY
0 - 1
ELC
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
RAY
2 - 0
ATH
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |