Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-1
Gimnàstic Tarragona vs Mérida CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
ATL
1 - 0
GIM
25%
35%
40%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
GIM
3 - 1
LCA
77%
18%
5%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
MER
0 - 0
GIM
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
HOS
2 - 4
GIM
36%
34%
30%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
GIM
2 - 0
CDM
65%
19%
16%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Mérida CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
MER
1 - 0
MEL
63%
21%
17%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
DBN
1 - 1
MER
13%
23%
65%
|
37 | 12 | 25 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
MER
0 - 0
GIM
42%
26%
32%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
MER
2 - 1
MON
91%
7%
2%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
ARC
2 - 1
MER
22%
26%
52%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -1 |