Primera RFEF Promotion PlayOff Final
Global 3-4
Gimnàstic Tarragona vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
MAL
2 - 1
GIM
51%
27%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
GIM
2 - 1
CEU
47%
25%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
CEU
2 - 2
GIM
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
GIM
1 - 0
MAJ
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FCB
1 - 2
GIM
61%
24%
16%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
MAL
2 - 1
GIM
51%
27%
22%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
MAL
2 - 1
CEL
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 2
MAL
51%
23%
26%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
RMC
1 - 2
MAL
36%
29%
35%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MAL
3 - 0
ANT
57%
27%
17%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |