Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 6-1
Gimnàstic Tarragona vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
GIM
0 - 0
UES
50%
29%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
GIM
1 - 0
BAR
51%
27%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
RAC
2 - 0
GIM
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1975 |
LUG
1 - 1
GIM
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
GIM
1 - 1
CUL
63%
23%
14%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
LUG
3 - 2
CDG
65%
23%
12%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
LUG
0 - 1
CFP
59%
26%
16%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
UPL
1 - 1
LUG
65%
23%
12%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1975 |
LUG
1 - 1
GIM
32%
27%
41%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
LUG
1 - 1
PON
46%
29%
25%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |