Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 5-3
Gimnàstic Tarragona vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
26.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1946 |
HER
1 - 1
GIM
56%
21%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
GIM
6 - 0
ZAR
56%
21%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1946 |
RCD
0 - 1
GIM
59%
20%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
GIM
2 - 4
RSO
41%
23%
36%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
JFC
4 - 1
GIM
64%
18%
18%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1946 |
HER
1 - 1
GIM
56%
21%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
HER
1 - 2
CAS
34%
23%
42%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1946 |
CEL
4 - 2
HER
75%
14%
12%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
HER
2 - 3
RMA
26%
27%
48%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1946 |
HER
0 - 0
FCB
22%
24%
54%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | +1 |