Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-4
Gimnàstic Tarragona vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
54%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
ESP
2 - 1
GIM
85%
10%
6%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1944 |
GIM
3 - 1
CFP
67%
17%
15%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1944 |
CFP
2 - 1
GIM
44%
22%
34%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
TER
1 - 1
GIM
30%
22%
48%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
GIM
3 - 0
TER
81%
12%
7%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
ESP
2 - 1
GIM
85%
10%
6%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1944 |
ESP
7 - 1
ALC
79%
13%
8%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
ATM
3 - 1
ESP
71%
15%
14%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
ESP
2 - 0
GRA
62%
18%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
SEV
1 - 2
ESP
72%
15%
13%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |