Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 3-1
Gimnàstic Tarragona vs Júpiter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
GIM
0 - 1
OSA
41%
31%
28%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
RMC
1 - 1
GIM
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
GIM
3 - 2
DEP
38%
31%
31%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
GIM
2 - 2
PAL
37%
28%
35%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
REC
3 - 0
GIM
80%
14%
6%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Júpiter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
LCA
3 - 2
JUP
60%
23%
18%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
JUP
1 - 0
UAH
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
OLO
1 - 2
JUP
62%
21%
16%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
JUP
3 - 2
ATL
64%
22%
14%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
REU
2 - 0
JUP
62%
22%
16%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -2 |