Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-1
Gimnàstic Tarragona vs Júpiter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
CCF
1 - 1
GIM
73%
19%
7%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
GIM
1 - 0
LEV
31%
32%
38%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
JUP
1 - 2
GIM
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
ONT
0 - 0
GIM
65%
24%
11%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
GIM
0 - 0
SEV
43%
30%
27%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Júpiter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
JUP
2 - 0
ATL
63%
22%
15%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
0 - 0
JUP
77%
14%
10%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
JUP
1 - 2
GIM
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
JUP
2 - 2
FCA
50%
22%
27%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
OLO
3 - 1
JUP
39%
29%
33%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -2 |