Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 3-4
Gimnàstic Tarragona vs Barbastro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
11.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
GIM
2 - 1
TER
45%
26%
29%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
OLO
2 - 2
GIM
39%
26%
35%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1969 |
BAR
3 - 0
GIM
41%
26%
33%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
GIM
1 - 1
CAL
66%
20%
15%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
STB
0 - 0
GIM
46%
25%
29%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Barbastro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
CHA
2 - 0
BAR
54%
23%
23%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
BAR
1 - 0
OBE
63%
21%
16%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1969 |
BAR
3 - 0
GIM
41%
26%
33%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +3 |
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
AND
1 - 1
BAR
73%
16%
10%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
BAR
1 - 0
ATL
72%
18%
10%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |