Primera RFEF Promotion PlayOff Semi-finals
Global 4-3
Gimnàstic Tarragona vs AD Ceuta FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
CEU
2 - 2
GIM
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
GIM
1 - 0
MAJ
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FCB
1 - 2
GIM
61%
24%
16%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
GIM
2 - 1
SDL
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SAB
0 - 0
GIM
31%
31%
38%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
AD Ceuta FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
CEU
2 - 2
GIM
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
MAD
3 - 2
CEU
28%
28%
44%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CEU
4 - 0
ATB
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ALC
3 - 1
CEU
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CEU
2 - 0
ANT
54%
25%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |