Gimnasia y Tiro vs Sol de América Formosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
11.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
4º
1º
45
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia y Tiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
BUC
0 - 0
GYT
31%
30%
40%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
GYT
4 - 1
JAN
63%
23%
14%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
CDN
0 - 0
GYT
22%
28%
50%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 1
GYT
35%
30%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
GYT
0 - 0
SAR
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sol de América Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
SOL
1 - 0
SMA
33%
28%
39%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
SAR
3 - 0
SOL
61%
24%
15%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
SOL
1 - 2
CEN
28%
29%
43%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
SOL
1 - 0
9DJ
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
BUC
2 - 2
SOL
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |