Gimnasia y Tiro vs Sarm. Resistencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
16.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
4º
1º
39
1º
6º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia y Tiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CEN
2 - 0
GYT
44%
29%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
GYT
1 - 0
9DJ
67%
21%
12%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SOL
0 - 2
GYT
22%
30%
48%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
GYT
1 - 0
BUC
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
JAN
0 - 0
GYT
20%
30%
50%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sarm. Resistencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 2
SMA
44%
29%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CEN
1 - 0
SAR
54%
26%
20%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 0
9DJ
54%
26%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SOL
2 - 0
SAR
26%
28%
46%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 2
BUC
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |