Gimnasia y Tiro vs Crucero del Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
9.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
4º
1º
36
4º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia y Tiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
GYT
3 - 0
SMA
58%
25%
17%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 1
GYT
36%
31%
33%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
GYT
1 - 1
CEN
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
9DJ
0 - 0
GYT
23%
29%
48%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
GYT
1 - 0
SOL
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Crucero del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 0
CDN
59%
24%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CDN
0 - 0
SAR
22%
27%
51%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
CEN
1 - 1
CDN
67%
21%
12%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
CDN
2 - 2
9DJ
41%
28%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
SOL
1 - 1
CDN
48%
26%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |