Gimnasia y Tiro vs Crucero del Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
11.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
4º
1º
36
4º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia y Tiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
GYT
2 - 1
SMA
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 1
GYT
48%
28%
24%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
GYT
1 - 1
CEN
39%
29%
32%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
9DJ
2 - 1
GYT
18%
26%
55%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
GYT
2 - 1
SOL
71%
20%
10%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Crucero del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
SMA
2 - 0
CDN
58%
24%
18%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CDN
1 - 2
SAR
21%
27%
52%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CEN
0 - 1
CDN
68%
21%
11%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CDN
2 - 1
9DJ
49%
27%
24%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
SOL
2 - 0
CDN
31%
27%
42%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |