Gimnasia y Tiro vs Concepción FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia y Tiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2015 |
AND
2 - 1
GYT
21%
24%
55%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
SLO
1 - 1
GYT
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
GYT
0 - 1
JAN
34%
28%
38%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SJO
0 - 2
GYT
46%
26%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
GYT
1 - 0
AMT
87%
9%
4%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Concepción FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2015 |
CON
1 - 1
SMA
32%
28%
40%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
AHZ
1 - 2
CON
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CON
1 - 1
AND
75%
15%
9%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SLO
0 - 2
CON
51%
25%
24%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CON
2 - 1
JAN
23%
27%
50%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | +2 |