Gimnasia La Plata vs Patronato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
GLP
2 - 0
GOD
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
HUR
0 - 1
GLP
40%
28%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
GLP
1 - 0
LAN
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
RIV
1 - 0
GLP
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
GLP
0 - 0
COL
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
BAN
0 - 0
PAT
59%
24%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
PAT
3 - 0
BOC
22%
28%
50%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +2 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 1
PAT
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
PAT
1 - 0
TIG
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
CCS
1 - 3
PAT
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |