Gimnasia La Plata vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
NOB
5 - 2
GLP
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
GLP
2 - 2
EST
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
CHI
1 - 2
GLP
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
GLP
3 - 4
RAF
68%
20%
13%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
TAL
1 - 0
GLP
48%
25%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
IND
1 - 1
SLO
36%
27%
38%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
COL
2 - 0
IND
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
IND
1 - 0
OLI
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2004 |
IND
1 - 1
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
ARS
0 - 0
IND
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |