Gimnasia La Plata vs Douglas Haig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2012 |
GLP
2 - 0
MER
62%
24%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2012 |
CEN
2 - 0
GLP
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
GLP
0 - 0
INS
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
GLP
0 - 0
ALD
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
GIM
2 - 0
GLP
36%
29%
35%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
DHA
0 - 2
OLI
27%
29%
44%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
CHI
4 - 4
DHA
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
DHA
0 - 1
BAN
30%
28%
42%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
HUR
2 - 1
DHA
55%
24%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
DHA
2 - 3
BUC
32%
26%
42%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |