Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 3-1
Gimnasia La Plata vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
36.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
BOC
2 - 0
GLP
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
GLP
0 - 1
BAN
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
CAU
2 - 1
GLP
40%
25%
36%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
GLP
1 - 0
CHI
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
CEN
5 - 2
GLP
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
BOC
2 - 0
GLP
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
LAN
1 - 0
BOC
25%
25%
50%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
BOC
2 - 2
SLO
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
BOC
3 - 1
EST
71%
18%
10%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
BAN
0 - 1
BOC
22%
24%
54%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |