Gimnasia La Plata vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
PAT
0 - 1
GLP
26%
29%
45%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
GLP
2 - 0
VEL
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2016 |
INS
0 - 2
GLP
26%
26%
48%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2016 |
GLP
3 - 0
COL
60%
23%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
GLP
2 - 1
DEP
81%
13%
6%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
RAF
1 - 0
TEM
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
RAF
2 - 2
CEN
27%
24%
49%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ATT
1 - 0
RAF
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
RAF
2 - 2
FER
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
RAF
0 - 2
ARG
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |