Gimnasia La Plata vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
12.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
TAL
1 - 0
GLP
48%
25%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
GLP
0 - 0
LAN
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
RAC
1 - 0
GLP
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
GLP
6 - 1
CHA
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
BOC
0 - 0
GLP
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
RAF
0 - 0
SLO
16%
24%
60%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
COL
2 - 1
RAF
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
RAF
0 - 2
OLI
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
ARS
3 - 2
RAF
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
RAF
0 - 0
QUI
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |