Gimnasia Mendoza vs Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
25.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia Mendoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
AGR
2 - 0
GIM
30%
29%
40%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2021 |
MAI
0 - 2
GIM
25%
27%
48%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
GIM
1 - 2
TEM
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2021 |
EST
1 - 1
GIM
45%
27%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
GIM
1 - 1
RIE
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
QUI
2 - 1
RIE
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2021 |
QUI
2 - 3
BEL
44%
28%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 2
QUI
59%
25%
16%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
QUI
3 - 1
ALM
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 1
QUI
29%
29%
43%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |