Copa Argentina 1/128
Global 5-1
Gimnasia Mendoza vs Juventud Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia Mendoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
JUU
0 - 2
GIM
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 3
GIM
25%
28%
47%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2017 |
GIM
0 - 0
GUT
69%
20%
12%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
GIM
2 - 0
JUU
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2017 |
HHE
2 - 2
GIM
17%
28%
55%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Juventud Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
JUU
0 - 2
GIM
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
GUT
0 - 1
JUU
32%
28%
40%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2017 |
JUU
0 - 1
EST
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
GIM
2 - 0
JUU
52%
26%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
JUU
0 - 0
MAI
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |