Gimnasia Mendoza vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
17.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia Mendoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
DEP
2 - 1
GIM
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
GIM
1 - 2
AGR
61%
23%
17%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 0
GIM
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SLP
1 - 3
GIM
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
GIM
36%
29%
35%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
ALV
1 - 1
DFR
30%
27%
43%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ALV
0 - 0
DEP
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
DFR
3 - 1
ALV
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
AGR
3 - 2
ALV
39%
30%
31%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CGB
1 - 1
ALV
33%
29%
38%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |