Gimnasia Concepción vs Vélez de San Ramón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
9.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SOL
3 - 1
GIM
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
GIM
2 - 0
SPA
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CFE
3 - 1
GIM
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
GIM
1 - 1
SAR
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SOL
4 - 0
GIM
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Vélez de San Ramón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
VSR
1 - 1
SPA
21%
25%
55%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 0
VSR
64%
20%
16%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
VSR
1 - 1
UNI
17%
22%
61%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | +3 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
MIT
3 - 1
VSR
78%
15%
7%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
VSR
2 - 1
LBC
50%
23%
27%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |