Gimnasia Concepción vs Tiro Federal Rosario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
38.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
SJO
2 - 0
GIM
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
GIM
1 - 2
SMA
37%
29%
34%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CFE
4 - 4
GIM
53%
25%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
GIM
0 - 1
GAF
55%
24%
20%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 0
GIM
50%
27%
24%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Tiro Federal Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
TFE
1 - 0
SMA
43%
28%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
GAF
0 - 2
TFE
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
TFE
1 - 0
JUV
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CEN
1 - 1
TFE
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
TFE
2 - 2
CCS
50%
26%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |