Gimnasia Concepción vs Sportivo Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
51.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
8º
9º
47
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 0
GIM
43%
26%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
GIM
0 - 0
DHA
26%
27%
46%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
IND
3 - 1
GIM
51%
26%
23%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SLP
3 - 0
GIM
53%
26%
21%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
GIM
2 - 5
LIN
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sportivo Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
SPB
2 - 0
IND
47%
28%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
SLP
0 - 2
SPB
41%
28%
31%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
SPB
1 - 0
LIN
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
DPR
1 - 0
SPB
23%
25%
52%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
DFR
0 - 2
SPB
21%
25%
55%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |