Gimnasia Concepción vs Sol de América Formosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
16%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 1
GIM
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
GIM
2 - 0
SAR
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SPA
3 - 2
GIM
49%
25%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
GIM
0 - 0
TEX
74%
17%
10%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
GIM
1 - 1
PAR
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sol de América Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
SOL
2 - 0
PAR
28%
25%
47%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
CFE
1 - 0
SOL
71%
18%
11%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
TEX
2 - 0
SOL
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -3 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SOL
0 - 1
JUV
30%
26%
44%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
SAR
1 - 1
SOL
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |