Torneo Federal A 1/16
Global 2-2
Gimnasia Concepción vs San Martín Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
GIM
0 - 0
SLO
56%
23%
22%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
SJO
4 - 0
GIM
23%
24%
54%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
GIM
2 - 2
AMT
82%
13%
5%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
VSR
0 - 2
GIM
19%
23%
58%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
GIM
2 - 1
AND
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
DFR
2 - 1
SMA
62%
23%
15%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SMA
1 - 1
JUU
36%
28%
36%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
SOL
1 - 1
SMA
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SMA
0 - 2
GYT
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 0
SMA
46%
27%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |