Gimnasia Concepción vs San Martín Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.8%
29%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
33.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CFE
4 - 4
GIM
53%
25%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
GIM
0 - 1
GAF
55%
24%
20%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
LIB
2 - 0
GIM
50%
27%
24%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
GIM
0 - 2
JUV
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
JAN
4 - 1
GIM
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SMA
1 - 3
GAF
62%
24%
14%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 2
SMA
38%
30%
32%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SMA
1 - 1
CEN
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CCS
0 - 0
SMA
38%
29%
33%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SMA
0 - 1
SJO
55%
26%
19%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |