Gimnasia Concepción vs Independiente Chivilcoy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
38.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
6º
8º
9º
19
1º
6º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 29 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 0
GIM
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
DPR
1 - 1
GIM
60%
22%
19%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
GIM
1 - 2
9DJ
31%
28%
41%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SLP
6 - 1
GIM
54%
25%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
GIM
0 - 1
DFR
33%
28%
40%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
IND
0 - 1
LIN
41%
28%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
DPR
0 - 0
IND
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
9DJ
0 - 0
IND
43%
29%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
IND
2 - 4
SLP
41%
29%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
DFR
1 - 1
IND
41%
30%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |