Gimnasia Concepción vs Independiente Chivilcoy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
32.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
8º
9º
49
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GIM
4 - 1
PAR
46%
26%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
GYT
3 - 0
GIM
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GIM
1 - 0
UNI
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
DPR
3 - 0
GIM
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
GIM
0 - 2
SMA
31%
28%
42%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
EST
3 - 0
IND
85%
12%
3%
|
52 | 81 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 1
IND
67%
21%
12%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
IND
1 - 1
GYT
29%
29%
42%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
IND
2 - 0
SDM
43%
30%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
CIP
0 - 0
IND
35%
28%
37%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |